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May 25, 2013
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  Week Six SEC Predictions

Last week's predictions were 5-1, overall they are 43-8. After being off last Saturday, Auburn welcomes Arkansas to Jordan-Hare Stadium on ESPN at 11:00 am CT. Other SEC games include LSU at Florida and Georgia at South Carolina.

Arkansas at Auburn, 11:00 am CT, ESPN

Auburn is back in action after having last weekend off. The Tigers host Arkansas for an 11:00 am CT kickoff on ESPN. Auburn leads the all-time series 11-9-1, with a 5-4-1 advantage at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The longest winning streak in the series is three by Auburn from 2003-05.

After a grueling September that saw the Tigers lose three while winning one, the team had a break last weekend to get ready for the schedule in the month of October. Even though Auburn is off to its worst start since 1998, the upcoming games this month could be all victories for the Tigers. After Arkansas, road games at Ole Miss and Vanderbilt with Texas A&M at home round out the October schedule.

With an Arkansas defense that has surrendered a lot of yards and points this season, Auburn has an excellent chance to improve on its offensive numbers. The Tigers rank last in the SEC and 103rd nationally in total offense (297.8) and last in the conference in passing yards at 144.8 per game. Auburn averages 17.5 points per game, which ranks 14th in the SEC and 112th nationally.

Defensively, the Tigers allow 419 total yards per game and 208.2 rushing yards per game. Auburn's pass defense gives up 211 yards per game, which ranks sixth in the SEC. Linebacker Daren Bates leads the SEC with 47 tackles, and defensive end Corey Lemonier is second in the conference with five sacks.

Special teams play continues to be solid thanks to Cody Parkey and Onterio McCalebb. Parkey is 7-for-7 on field goals for the season and McCalebb ranks sixth in the country in individual kickoff returns.

While Auburn was enjoying the weekend off, the Razorbacks fell 58-10 to Texas A&M. Arkansas's defense allowed the Aggies to rack up 716 total yards. After jumping out to an early 10-7 lead in the first quarter, Texas A&M reeled off 51 unanswered points to earn its first-ever SEC victory.

Thanks to one of the worst defenses in the country, Arkansas comes into Saturday's contest with an 1-4 overall record, and 0-2 in the SEC. The Razorbacks allow 36.2 points per game and 458.8 yards per game. Arkansas gives up 146.5 rushing yards per game and 312.2 passing yards per game.

Offensively, Arkansas averages 310.4 passing yards per game and ranks sixth in the SEC with 417 total yards per game. Quarterback Tyler Wilson leads the SEC with 338.8 yards per game and nine touchdown passes. His favorite target, Cobi Hamilton, ranks first in the SEC with 591 receiving yards.

The Razorbacks are last in the SEC in rushing at 106.6 yards per game with running back Knile Davis averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. Davis has fumbled three times this season.

While Auburn quarterback Kiehl Frazier had an embarrassing performance against Mississippi State, a visit from Arkansas may be just what the doctor ordered for Frazier's confidence. Hopefully a solid day Saturday afternoon will get him on the right track and get the offense rolling for the month of October. While last year's contest wasn't close, a 38-14 blowout by Arkansas, Saturday's game favors the Tigers.

Prediction: Auburn 27-21.



Mississippi State at Kentucky, 11:21 am CT, SEC Network

Prediction: Mississippi State 28-17.



LSU at Florida, 2:30 pm CT, CBS

Prediction: Florida 17-14.



Texas A&M at Ole Miss, 6 pm CT, ESPNU

Prediction: Texas A&M 30-17.



Georgia at South Carolina, 6:00 pm CT, ESPN

Prediction: South Carolina 24-21.



Vanderbilt at Missouri, 6:00 pm CT, FSN

Prediction: Missouri 21-14.

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